Hey Trader,
Welcome to the weekly Velaris Trading Newsletter – your source for real market insight, no fluff, no noise.
Here’s this week’s newsletter breakdown:
Brief Overview
What to Expect in Week 16
After the historic price drop and the surprising rally in Week 15, all eyes are now on Week 16 – with a clear focus on upcoming economic data. CPI and PPI are behind us, and the key question is whether the signs of a new market equilibrium will strengthen or if the recovery was merely a bear market rally. Geopolitical tensions remain high – especially due to ongoing trade conflicts with China.
Weekly Market Recap
Week 15 was a textbook example of a highly volatile, politically driven environment. The massive tariff announcement, followed by a 90-day suspension (except for China), sent markets on a rollercoaster. While the S&P 500 nearly tested its previous all-time high around 4800 on Monday, it saw a strong recovery later in the week, closing above 5300 points. Inflation data came in better than expected – both CPI and PPI were below forecasts. Bitcoin also rebounded.
Earnings Highlights
This week’s highlights: Goldman Sachs Group, ASML, Abbott Laboratories, Prologis, United Health, American Express, and Charles Schwab.
What does week 16 bring?
Monday, April 14
No major economic data
Earnings Reports: Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS), MT&T Bank Corp. (MTB), Pinnacle Financial Partners Inc. (PNFP)
Tuesday, April 15
Empire State Manufacturing Index: Expected at -14.8 – gauges manufacturing conditions in New York
Export/Import Prices: Key inflation indicators
Earnings Reports: Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Bank of America (BAC), Citigroup (C), PNC Financial (PNC), Interactive Brokers (IBKR), United Airlines (UAL), J.B. Hunt (JBHT)
Wednesday, April 16
Business Inventories: Expected at 0.2% – demand trends in trade
Industrial Production: Expected at -0.2% – tracks industrial output
MBA Mortgage Applications, NAHB Housing Index (expected at 38), Retail Sales YoY (expected at 2.6%)
Earnings Reports: ASML Holding NV (ASML), Abbott Laboratories (ABT), Prologis Inc. (PLD), US Bancorp (USB), Travelers (TRV), CSX Corp. (CSX), Alcoa (AA)
Thursday, April 17
Building Permits: Expected at 1.40M – indicator for the construction sector
Housing Starts: Expected at 1.42M
Initial Jobless Claims: Expected at 227K
Philly Fed Index: Expected at 10
Earnings Reports: United Health (UNH), American Express (AXP), Charles Schwab (SCHW), DR Horton (DHI), Fifth Third (FITB), State Street (STT)
Friday, April 18
No major economic data
Earnings Reports: Comerica Inc. (CMA)
IMPORTANT: The expectations of the respective economic data may change in the course of the week. They will be updated in the Discord and will be discussed in more detail.
Weekly Market Wrap
Week 15 was intense: markets in free fall, political escalations, historic tariffs – followed by a surprising recovery. The S&P 500 tested a key support level near 4800 on Monday, then surged midweek. The NASDAQ had its best day since 2008.
Trump announced a 90-day tariff pause for all countries except China, which brought short-term relief. China responded with a yuan devaluation – a clear sign of economic tensions. Meanwhile, inflation data came in better than expected: CPI at 2.4%, PPI at 2.7% – both below forecasts. This significantly reduced fears of stagflation. Still, Powell remains cautious – a rate cut in May is unlikely, but June is still on the table.
Bitcoin dropped to $74,400 early in the week but recovered above $83,000. Ethereum and selected altcoins showed accumulation signals on Monday.
Are you not a member yet?
You’re missing out on daily signals, premium analysis & our trading academy.
Get instant access to life changing insights → velaristrading.com
Cancel anytime. Full access from day one.
The Secret To Our Consistent Results
Crypto & Market Outlook
Markets continue to search for direction: will we see the next leg up, or was that just a short-term rebound? Upcoming economic data will bring clarity – especially regarding demand, industrial production, and the labor market.
Bitcoin ETF inflows remain negative, but macro pressure seems to be easing temporarily. Political uncertainty is still present, and the overall trend still points downward.
Key Catalysts to Watch
Industrial and construction data: A sharp decline in building permits or industrial production could reignite recession fears.
Retail Sales & Housing Market Index: Early indicators of consumer strength and housing demand.
Earnings Season: More bank and tech reports will show how the macro environment is affecting margins and credit risks.
Don perfectly timed the bottom on Monday! While others panic, Don stays calm and buys with conviction when his setups align.
Don’s Spot Trades
Start your journey with Velaris Trading → velaristrading.com
Conclusion
Week 16 is all about stabilization. Last week’s rally was strong but rests on a fragile foundation. Only when data, politics, and market structure align can we speak of a sustainable bottom. Until then, stay alert and accumulate selectively.
Key Takeaways
Inflation data gives hope – but don’t get euphoric.
Political uncertainty remains – especially with China.
Retail sales & industrial production in focus.
Earnings season – banks and tech set the tone.
Trade with structure. Trade with foresight.
In our Discord, you’ll find daily detailed market analysis, trading signals, and live updates.
Ask your questions, connect with experienced traders, and learn step by step how to trade and invest independently.
👉 Join for free now → Join here
To a successful week ahead — and stay tuned for more weekly insights into the crypto and financial markets.
Stay focused. Stay rational.
Kind regards,
Don - Founder of Velaris Trading
Membership
Telegram
Website
Support
This newsletter, this e-mail does not contain any financial advice.
Reply