Important:
I, founder Diego, have been completely offline for the past three days with no service at all, I couldn’t even reach a team member to let you know. I was at sea and in the Bahamas. It was a relaxing time, but I had planned to work Thursday through Saturday as usual. Unfortunately, I wasn’t able to get any Wi-Fi or phone service, despite being certain I would. Sorry for the silence and the unexpected circumstances! I’m back now and will be catching up on everything, starting with the market outlook.
Hey Trader,
Welcome to the weekly Velaris Trading Newsletter – your source for real market insight, no fluff, no noise.
Here’s this week’s newsletter breakdown:
Brief Overview
Weekly Market Recap
Bitcoin and Ethereum posted strong gains in Week 32, supported by growing institutional interest, record-high crypto adoption by publicly traded companies, and an upbeat market sentiment fueled by expectations for a possible September rate cut. Meanwhile, tech and AI stocks delivered strong quarterly results, while new U.S. tariffs on over 90 countries are creating short-term geopolitical uncertainty but could drive long-term investment back to the U.S.
What’s Coming in Week 33
Markets enter Week 33 with solid momentum—Bitcoin is showing strength, Ethereum is attracting institutional capital, and the S&P 500 is pushing back toward all-time highs. But geopolitical tensions, fresh U.S. tariffs, and a pivotal inflation week could quickly change the tone.
What does week 33 bring?
Monday, August 11
No major economic data
Earnings: Aaon (AAON), Archer Aviation (ACHR), AST SpaceMobile (ASTS), Barrick Gold (B), Celanese (CE), Franco-Nevada (FNV), Oklo (OKLO), Monday.com (MNDY)
Tuesday, August 12
CPI: Expected at 3.0% vs. 2.9% prior — key for rate expectations
Treasury Budget
Earnings: Cardinal Health (CAH), CAVA Group (CAVA), Circle Internet (CRCL), CoreWeave (CRWV), H&R Block (HRB), Lumentum (LITE), Sea Ltd. (SE), Rigetti (RGTI)
Wednesday, August 13
MBA Mortgage Applications Index — early read on housing market activity
Earnings: Brinker Int’l (EAT), Cisco (CSCO), Coherent (COHR), Elbit Systems (ESLT), Loar Holdings (LOAR), Performance Food (PFGC), Stantec (STN)
Thursday, August 14
Initial Jobless Claims — expected stable
PPI: Expected at 2.5% vs. 2.7% prior — another inflation piece to watch
Earnings: Alibaba (BABA), Applied Materials (AMAT), Deere & Co. (DE), JD.com (JD), NetEase (NTES), Nice Ltd. (NICE), SanDisk (SNDK), Tapestry (TRP)
Friday, August 15
Empire State Manufacturing — industrial sentiment
Export/Import Prices, Industrial Production, Retail Sales — heavy data day
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Preliminary): Weak consumer sentiment expected
Earnings: BitFuFu (FUFU), Flowers Foods (FLO), So-Young Int’l (SY)
IMPORTANT: The expectations of the respective economic data may change in the course of the week. They will be updated in the Discord and will be discussed in more detail.
Weekly Market Wrap
Week 32 closed strong. Bitcoin rebounded from 112K to 118K, signaling renewed buying power and positive sentiment. Institutional demand for Ethereum is growing, reinforcing ETH’s relative strength. Meme coins, despite volatility, remain whale targets—we caught several and booked multiple 100%+ gains.
Traditional markets are also embracing crypto: Bullish’s IPO was oversubscribed, with Blackstone and Ark Invest participating. Even more notable—over 154 publicly traded companies have raised nearly $100B in 2025 to add BTC to their balance sheets, following a “Saylor-style” strategy.
Macro sentiment remains positive, with hopes for a September rate cut. The S&P 500 gained 2.5% and sits just below all-time highs, but technically, a breakout above the highs is needed for real momentum and price discovery.
Fundamentals remain strong for tech stocks: 81% of S&P companies reporting so far have beaten EPS forecasts, with earnings growth rising to 11.41%. AI-focused companies like Palantir, Astera Labs, and Arista Networks posted strong results—each hitting new all-time highs.
Geopolitically, the Trump administration imposed tariffs on imports from over 90 countries, raising the average tariff rate from 10% to 17%. Switzerland (39%), India (50%), and potentially all semiconductor imports not produced in the U.S. are among the hardest hit. This could drive long-term investment back to the U.S., but in the short term it adds uncertainty.
Are you not a member yet?
You’re missing out on daily signals, premium analysis & our trading academy.
Apply here → velaristrading.com
If you are accepted, you will get full access from day one.
The Secret To Our Consistent Results
Crypto & Market Outlook
Week 33 is all about inflation: CPI on Tuesday and PPI on Thursday could trigger the next big market move. Both are expected to tick slightly higher than last month—hotter readings could spark risk-off moves, while cooler numbers could extend the rally.
Bitcoin is showing short-term strength, Ethereum is attracting institutional flows, but ETF inflows have stalled and retail activity remains moderate. The technical setup is still fragile—BTC’s key zone is 118K–121K, with a breakout above likely leading to price discovery.
The S&P 500 is strong, but only a real breakout above all-time highs will trigger sustained buying pressure. Tuesday will be pivotal.
Key Catalysts to Watch:
Tuesday: CPI expected at 3% — will it meet or beat expectations?
Thursday: PPI — important for the Fed’s forward guidance
Friday: Data dump — Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Consumer Sentiment — a broad macro check
Tariffs & geopolitical pressure — especially for global-supply-chain tech stocks
Post-crypto-IPO momentum — will institutional interest stick?
Conclusion
The market wants to move higher — but it needs the next catalyst. Without a drop in inflation or a technical breakout, we risk more sideways action with pullbacks. Discipline, clear setups, and focusing on strong assets remain essential.
Key Takeaways:
Bitcoin is strong but at critical resistance
Ethereum is benefiting from capital rotation
S&P 500 is just under all-time highs — breakout or fakeout?
CPI & PPI are this week’s main triggers
Geopolitics remains a lingering risk factor
Stay sharp. Don’t get rushed. Trade with a plan — not emotion.
In our Discord, you’ll find daily detailed market analysis, trading signals, and live updates.
Ask your questions, connect with experienced traders, and learn step by step how to trade and invest independently.
👉 Try your luck → Apply here
To a successful week ahead — and stay tuned for more weekly insights into the crypto and financial markets.
Stay focused. Stay rational.
Kind regards,
Don - Founder of Velaris Trading
Membership
Telegram
Website
Support
This newsletter, this e-mail does not contain any financial advice.
Reply