Hey Trader,
Welcome to the weekly Velaris Trading Newsletter – your source for real market insight, no fluff, no noise.
Here’s this week’s newsletter breakdown:
Brief Overview
Weekly Market Recap
In Week 33, the S&P 500 hit new all-time highs despite a hot PPI print, while crypto markets came under heavy pressure from bearish divergences, excessive leverage, and profit-taking. Stocks, meanwhile, benefited from rate-cut hopes and strong earnings, while political talks between Trump and Putin fueled optimism for de-escalation.
What’s Coming in Week 34
This week brings major catalysts with the Fed Minutes, key U.S. consumer data (Walmart & Target earnings), and global PMIs—all of which could strongly influence sentiment in equities and bonds. Crypto remains fragile: Bitcoin is holding key support at 117K, with ETF inflows and the ETH/BTC ratio critical for any sustainable rebound.
What does week 34 bring?
Monday, August 18
NAHB Housing Market Index – Early indicator of U.S. housing sentiment, expected to drop due to higher mortgage rates.
Earnings: Bitdeer (BTDR), Polestar (PSNY), Palo Alto Networks (PANW), Fabrinet (FN), XP Inc. (XP)
Tuesday, August 19
Housing Starts & Building Permits – Gauge of construction activity and future economic growth.
Earnings: Home Depot (HD), Medtronic (MDT), Viking (VIK), American Sports (AS), Xpeng (XPEV), Keysight Tech (KEYS), ZTO Express (ZTO), Toll Brothers (TOL)
Wednesday, August 20
Fed Minutes – Offers insights into the Fed’s stance. Markets will look for signals on timing and likelihood of future rate moves.
MBA Mortgage Applications Index
Earnings: TJX (TJX), Lowe’s (LOW), Analog Devices (ADI), Target (TGT), Estée Lauder (EL), Baidu (BIDU), Futu (FUTU)
Thursday, August 21
Philly Fed, S&P Global PMIs, Leading Index, Existing Home Sales – A string of forward-looking economic indicators.
Initial Jobless Claims (expected steady at 250K)
Earnings: Walmart (WMT), Intuit (INTU), Workday (WDAY), Ross Stores (ROST), Zoom (ZM)
Friday, August 22
No major economic data
Earnings: Alibaba (BABA), Gold Fields (GFI), Ubiquiti (UI), BJ’s Wholesale (BJ)
IMPORTANT: The expectations of the respective economic data may change in the course of the week. They will be updated in the Discord and will be discussed in more detail.
Weekly Market Wrap
Week 33 was a textbook case of market divergence. While the S&P 500 pushed into record highs, crypto was caught off guard: the hotter-than-expected PPI triggered sharp sell-offs in Bitcoin & Co., which were already weighed down by bearish divergences and excessive leverage.
Bitcoin sold off immediately after the PPI release, confirming its bearish structure and flushing out leveraged longs. We used the prior euphoria to lock in profits—retail traders were left behind. Ethereum weakened as ETH/BTC slid midweek. Broad crypto indices (TOTAL, TOTAL2, OTHERS) all rejected key resistance levels, forming bearish divergences on higher timeframes.
By contrast, traditional markets stayed optimistic: equities shrugged off the PPI, powered by rate-cut bets and strong earnings. The VIX remained calm, the S&P kept surging. On the political front, Trump and Putin met—while no deal was struck, hopes for de-escalation rose, which could ease inflation pressures over time.
Are you not a member yet?
You’re missing out on daily signals, premium analysis & our trading academy.
Apply here → velaristrading.com
If you are accepted, you will get full access from day one.
The Secret To Our Consistent Results
Crypto & Market Outlook
This week brings a flood of market-moving data—most notably the Fed Minutes on Wednesday, which could reveal the Fed’s rate strategy or signal a pause if inflation remains weak.
For crypto, the structure is still fragile: while many overleveraged traders have already been flushed out, without fresh capital inflows the setup remains tense. Bitcoin is holding its support at 117K—a bounce is possible, but without ETF inflows or positive macro tailwinds, caution is warranted.
U.S. equities could extend gains, particularly if Walmart, Target, and Alibaba deliver strong earnings. The key question: does consumer strength hold up? That will be critical for the “soft landing” narrative.
Key Catalysts to Watch
Fed Minutes (Aug 20) – Crucial for Fed policy outlook.
Walmart & Target Earnings – Early signals on consumer strength and retail margins.
S&P Global PMIs & Leading Index (Aug 21) – Will confirm or challenge current growth optimism.
Bitcoin Support at 117K – Must-hold level after last week’s breakdown.
ETH/BTC Ratio – Institutional rotation depends heavily on this pair.
Conclusion
Week 34 could set the tone for late summer. Strong ETF inflows and earnings could push markets higher, offering crypto a window for a technical rebound.
Key Takeaways
SPX all-time high vs. BTC breakdown → divergence remains
Fed Minutes on Wednesday = potential game changer
Consumer data & retail earnings in focus
Bitcoin being tested at 117K
Risk remains high → accumulation > FOMO
Stay sharp. Don’t wait for confirmation. Trade the setup.
In our Discord, you’ll find daily detailed market analysis, trading signals, and live updates.
Ask your questions, connect with experienced traders, and learn step by step how to trade and invest independently.
👉 Try your luck → Apply here
To a successful week ahead — and stay tuned for more weekly insights into the crypto and financial markets.
Stay focused. Stay rational.
Kind regards,
Don - Founder of Velaris Trading
Membership
Telegram
Website
Support
This newsletter, this e-mail does not contain any financial advice.
Reply