Hey Trader,
Welcome to the weekly Velaris Trading Newsletter – your source for real market insight, no fluff, no noise.
Here’s this week’s newsletter breakdown:
Brief Overview
Weekly Market Recap
After last week’s record $19 billion crypto liquidation, Bitcoin extended its downtrend to near $103.4K while dominance rose, altcoins lagged, ETFs saw outflows, gold surged 6%, and global markets steadied amid lingering geopolitical and economic uncertainty.
What’s Coming in Week 43
Markets remain cautious after historic liquidations, with Bitcoin under pressure, altcoins lagging, and investors awaiting Friday’s CPI data to determine whether risk assets rebound or face another pullback amid rising gold and cautious institutional sentiment.
What does week 43 bring?
Monday, October 20
Leading Indicators – Early signal of economic momentum or slowdown
Earnings Reports: AGNC Investment, Cleveland-Cliffs, Crown Holdings, Dynex Capital, Steel Dynamics, WR Berkley, Zions Bancorporation
Tuesday, October 21
No economic data scheduled
Earnings Reports: Capital One, Chubb, EQT, GE Aerospace, General Motors, Lockheed Martin, Netflix, Northrop Grumman, Texas Instruments
Wednesday, October 22
MBA Mortgage Applications Index – Important for housing market sentiment and rate outlook
Earnings Reports: Amphenol, AT&T, CME Group, Crown Castle, GE Vernova, IBM, Lam Research, Moody’s, SAP, Tesla, United Rentals
Thursday, October 23
Existing Home Sales – Key update on housing activity
Initial Jobless Claims – Covers the last 4 weeks due to the government shutdown
Earnings Reports: ACNB, Blackstone, Decker’s Outdoor, Digital Realty Trust, Freeport McMoRan, Honeywell, Intel, Newmont, T-Mobile, Union Pacific, Valero Energy
Friday, October 24
CPI (Consumer Price Index) – The week’s most important macro event if we get it
New Home Sales – Complements the housing data
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment – Early signal of Q4 consumer strength
Earnings Reports: Booz Allen Hamilton, General Dynamics, HCA Healthcare, Illinois Tool Works, Natwest, Proctor & Gamble, Sanofi
IMPORTANT: The expectations of the respective economic data may change in the course of the week. They will be updated in the Discord and will be discussed in more detail.
Weekly Market Wrap
After last Friday’s massive liquidation, the largest in history with over 19 billion dollars erased in minutes, many traders tried to revenge trade and the result was another wave of billions in liquidations this week. Bitcoin briefly touched 100K before recovering. The Sunday before the crash we identified a clear bearish divergence on the weekly timeframe combined with one on the monthly. That was a clear warning signal and our shorts have been running in massive profit since then. Once again did I call the top and shorted it. I hope you followed and exited before the massive crash.
Throughout this week Bitcoin continued its downtrend and made new lows near 103.4K. The daily RSI is approaching oversold territory. The week started at 115K with a short term relief bounce but it was short lived and Bitcoin is now trading near 106.5K.
Bitcoin dominance kept rising as expected and is now around 59.5 percent. This shows continued strength in Bitcoin relative to altcoins. Ethereum followed the same downtrend but held strong support near 3.8K. If Bitcoin stabilizes and starts another rally, Ethereum is very likely to break into new all time highs, but for now confirmation is still missing.
ETF activity showed more outflows than inflows this week which signals that institutions are still cautious after the recent crash.
On the macro side the tone between the United States and China shifted slightly. After weeks of tariff tension both sides are now trying to find common ground and discuss possible deals. Meanwhile President Trump and Russia are reportedly exploring a peace framework following recent agreements in the Middle East. These developments helped calm risk sentiment slightly but uncertainty remains high.
In traditional markets the S&P 500 finished the week in green but still below last Friday’s crash levels. Gold had a parabolic move higher, gaining about six percent for the week. It is now in everyone’s mouth and some analysts wonder if the top could be near or if we will see a period of consolidation. Gold’s strength makes investors question whether something deeper in the global financial system is starting to crack. The ongoing government shutdown continues to add uncertainty and limit visibility into economic data and fiscal planning.
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The Secret To Our Consistent Results
Crypto & Market Outlook
If the government shutdown is over, all eyes will bne on the CPI this Friday. If inflation comes in hot, risk assets could face another pullback. If softer, markets might rally. Meanwhile, gold’s explosive move signals deeper concerns about global risk.
Bitcoin is still under pressure, there is a weekly and monthly bearish divergence we could be going to lower levels. RSI is low, dominance is rising, and we already hit our mid-term 100K target during the biggest liquidation in history. The next move is going to happen very soon.
Altcoins remain underperformers. Dominance strength shows clear preference for BTC. We stay cautious and patient.
Key Catalysts to Watch
• CPI report on Friday – Decides if markets turn risk-on or remain defensive
• ETF flows – Strong signal of institutional risk appetite
• US-China rhetoric – Ongoing trade talks could ease or escalate tension
• Gold strength – May signal systemic cracks or capital flight
• BTC RSI and structure – Any bullish divergence could spark reversal
Conclusion
This is not the time for guessing. The market has spoken. Panic wiped out billions. Now it’s about discipline, structure, and clarity. The CPI and Tariffs will decide short-term direction. Until then, stay cautious, stay sharp, and stay in control.
Key Takeaways
Over 19 billion liquidated shows what happens without a system
Bitcoin remains the lead asset while altcoins weaken further
Institutional money still hesitant, visible in ETF outflows
CPI will set the tone for November
Patience beats panic – every time
Stay focused. Stay patient. And keep your edge.
Diego
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To a successful week ahead — and stay tuned for more weekly insights into the crypto and financial markets.
Stay focused. Stay rational.
Kind regards,
Don - Founder of Velaris Trading
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